We can start with margins. The world’s biggest cruise line operator, Carnival, doubles as one of the best cruise stocks to buy now. Shares of Royal Caribbean have fallen 45% in 2020 as we head into the final two trading weeks of the year. 1125 N. Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201. Let's rank them from best to worst in terms of investing potential for the year ahead. If you invest $4,000 and typically take four cruises per year, each one with $100 in onboard credit (i.e., free spending money), your investment "earns" $400 or 10 percent per year. MSC Cruises 86.05 The best-performing ETF in the past 12 months with RCL as a holding is the Direxion Daily Consumer Discretionary Bull 3x Shares (WANT), with a return of 54.97%. Against that backdrop, stocks will keep rallying — especially recovery-sensitive, mobility stocks, like cruise stocks. The vaccine will have been in circulation for more than a year. Global travel trends will start to look like they did in 2019. Right now there isn't much of an advantage to being the world's largest cruise line operator. The 15 reviews on CCL break down to 2 Buys, 10 Holds, and 3 Sells, making the analyst consensus a Hold. However, Carnival will be in the best positive to market its product when it's time to turn on the marketing spigot again. The Best Credit Cards Of 2021. Concurrent to that, Carnival will increase cruise capacity. But Pounce on the Lucid Motors Merger, Top SPAC Merger News This Week: Lucid Motors, EVgo, Joby Aviation and 7 More Hot SPACs, CCIV Stock: Comparing Lucid Motors to Tesla as ‘Merger Monday’ Hopes Soar, How the Internet Sent GameStop Stock Up 1,000% — And Where It’s Going Next. Profit margins won’t rebound to where they had been historically — roughly 17% average operating margin from 2015 to 2019 — but should recover to a lower steady-state around 10% to 12% thanks to higher cleaning and maintenance costs. It also has joint venture interests in another 21 ships… Let's take a closer look at each of these companies. Of course, fiscal 2020 for this company will be awful. Carnival doesn't get top honors here because Royal Caribbean's margins and passenger fandom are stronger. Most recently, another big drop, on fears that a “second wave” of the novel coronavirus is emerging across the U.S. A big and sustainable rally, meaning now is the time to buy cruise stocks. Jan. 22, 2021, Don’t Buy CCIV Stock Now. That mental framework pegs Norwegian’s 2022 revenues around $6 billion, and its profit margins around 10% to 12%. As of this writing, he did not hold a position in any of the aforementioned securities. Best large ship cruise lines 1. Why is Carnival stock the best cruise line stock despite that bad publicity? Its larger rivals have pumped their debt loads by more, but no one has done its future per-share profitability more harm during the lull than Norwegian Cruise Line with all of the new shares printed in 2020. Under the hood, what’s happening is that “cabin fever” is finally getting to consumers and “nearly bankrupt” businesses are desperate to get back to some semblance of normal. Should investors stay away from cruise line stocks for now? If we're not sailing on cruise ships by the end of next year, you're kidding yourself if you think all three players would survive nearly two years of disruption. The stock has a 52-week high of $59.78 and a 52-week low of $7.03. It has retired a few vessels, but they were its less productive ships. Cruises especially. U.S. News ranks the 8 Best Cruise Lines for the Money based on expert analysis and traveler opinion to help you find the best cruise for your budget. Wall Street agrees with Montour on this one. That’s up about 50% from where RCL stock currently trades. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day Jan. 12, 2021 at 6:24 p.m. The best way to value these cruise lines stocks is based on liquidity to survive a weak 2020 with positioning towards a stronger time in 2021.Unlike the airlines that have … 1125 N. Charles St, Baltimore, MD 21201. Under those very basic and reasonable assumptions, my modeling suggests that by 2022, Norwegian’s earnings per share could rebound to $2.50, which is well within the range of Wall Street’s estimates. That is, a really bad year in 2020, followed by a strong recovery in 2021, and a further recovery in 2022 to traffic and revenue levels nearly on par with 2019 levels. Hold). Best budget-friendly cruise lines for food. Norwegian Cruise Line is third on this list, but that doesn't mean that it's going to be a bad investment. Luke Lango is a Markets Analyst for InvestorPlace. By my numbers, CCL stock could rally 70%+ over the next 18 months. Royal Caribbean has historically been able to command higher markups for its cruises, and this means that it will have the easiest path back to profitability when the industry starts sailing again. The stock has an average price target of … Find the best Cruise Lines Stocks to buy. DISNEY CRUISE LINE is part of … He earned his BBA and MBA from the University of Miami, and he splits his time living in Miami, Florida and Celebration, Florida. All of that together makes Carnival one of the best cruise stocks to consider buying now. Profit margins concurrently recover. 1. First, the big drop. Over the past few weeks, we’ve had: 1) arguably the most controversial filmed police killing of all time, 2) tons of protests and riots across the country, including some that have turned violent and forced store closures and 3) a sharp uptick in confirmed coronavirus cases across several states. Now, the cruise line stock will rebound by more than 50% as those fears abate and business trends recover over the next 12 to 18 months. quotes delayed at least 15 minutes, all others at least 20 minutes. Financial Market Data powered by FinancialContent Services, Inc. All rights reserved. Regent Seven Seas Cruises. Fiscal 2019 revenues were around $11 billion. However, even if Norwegian keeps extending its cancellations (the latest nixing pushes out its restart until March), favorable news on the vaccine front may make some of the strict measures that Norwegian Cruise Line and Royal Caribbean agreed to this fall moot. As they do, the human costs of the virus will remain relatively mitigated, while economic and social activity will continue to perk up. Through it all, the U.S. economic recovery has persisted. When considering what names to put on your watch list, look for stocks … Carnival (NYSE:CCL)(NYSE:CUK), Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NYSE:NCLH) have all suspended operations since March, and they aren't expected to resume the bulk of their operations until at least a couple of months into 2021. Thus, shares have visible runway to more than 65% upside over the next 18 months. DISNEY CRUISE LINE, created in 2007 (United States), has more than 1 052 sister brands and more than 1 338 competing brands. Norwegian … Travel stocks were some of the first to go. Royal Caribbean is the second largest cruise line operator. Investors in Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH Quick Quote NCLH - Free Report) need to pay close attention to the stock based on moves … The three biggest cruise line stocks are Royal Caribbean , Norwegian Cruise Line , and market leader Carnival . Royal Caribbean has seen its stock price drop 30% on second wave fears. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. NCLH is a global cruise company which operates the Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises brands. Cruise Stocks: Bon Voyage. All rights reserved. re: best cruise line stock Posted by go ta hell ole miss on 12/2/20 at 8:35 pm to Auburn1968 quote: Then too even after covid is knocked out, there is the longer term economic damage that has been done. Another industry that has been nothing short of devastated by the impact of the coronavirus is the cruise industry. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.(NYSE:NCLH): While airline operators see pandemic relief coming their way, the news keeps getting worse for cruise lines. Norwegian Cruise Line's current share price divided by its per-share earnings (EPS) over a 12-month period gives a "trailing price/earnings ratio" of roughly 4x. The headlines were pretty brutal with all of the COVID-19 outbreaks that took place on cramped cruise ships this year. Cruise operator stocks have suffered a brutal start to the year, as travelers postpone voyages over fears of the coronavirus. The cruise lines need money. The virus will be more than two years old. Cruise line operators tend to see immense earnings-per … He has been professionally analyzing stocks for several years, previously working at various hedge funds and currently running his own investment fund in San Diego. Restaurant and store foot traffic has improved. Best River: Viking River Cruises "Operates more than 70 vessels and continues to rake in awards and accolades." Overall economic activity has sustainably perked up. It has held up … Then, the big rebound. Immediately cruise line Regent Seven Seas launched the luxury Seven Seas Explorer in 2016, it marketed it to the world as the most luxurious ship ever made. If you’re looking for a less pricey mid-tier cruise line, these are known for having a wide array of dining options — with gourmet restaurants available if you’d like to splurge just for a night. The company’s revenues and profit margins will meaningfully rebound. Read on to find out the best cruise ship lines to see which one best matches your preferences. In that grim scenario, you'd be hard-pressed to argue that Norwegian Cruise Line wouldn't be the first to capitulate. Norwegian entered the COVID crisis with some important structural advantages … Under those assumptions, $2.40 seems like a doable earnings per share target for Carnival by 2022. 10 best cruise lines based on reviews, awards and price comparison including P&O cruises, Royal Caribbean, Cunard, Oceania, Princess, Saga, Hurtigruten, Celebrity, Disney and Fred Olsen Cruise … "I say: What did you expect? publicly traded Cruise Lines companies. Both parties will get better at this balancing act over the next few months. I still rank the three stocks as Royal Caribbean first, Carnival second, and Norwegian Cruise Line third, but all three will outperform the overall market if the cruise industry recovers in the year ahead. ET by MarketWatch Automation Royal Caribbean extends cruise … The coronavirus crash sunk the Dow Jones as much as 37% back in March. With a combined fleet of 28 ships, these brands offer cruises to more than 490 destinations worldwide. Norwegian Cruise Line stock trades at $54.67 and has returned a cruising YTD gain of almost 30% as of Sept. 11, 2019. A Caltech graduate, Luke has consistently been recognized as one of the best stock pickers in the world by various other analysts and platforms, and has developed a reputation for leveraging his technology background to identify growth stocks that deliver outstanding returns. In line with this stance, Montour rates the stock a Neutral (i.e. The next stock is Norwegian Cruise Line, the third largest of the world’s major cruise lines. The three biggest cruise line stocks are Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL), Norwegian Cruise Line (NYSE:NCLH), and market leader Carnival (NYSE:CCL). The Switzerland-based cruise line fell to the bottom of the 2020 ranking for the second year in a row with a score of just 57 per cent, with its customer service and food ranking poorly. Year-to-date, Norwegian Cruise, Carnival Corporation, and Royal Caribbean Cruises stocks have fallen 74, 70, and 57 percent, respectively. Without question, the coronavirus has devastated cruise stocks, including Carnival (NYSE: CCL).In fact, since 2020 began, Carnival stock has plunged from a high of $51.34 to … At the same time, cruise lines began to sell stock, bonds, and secured notes to raise capital to ensure the continuation of operations even as no cruises were setting sail. As such, consumers and businesses alike are both increasingly learning how to keep the world turning while simultaneously managing Covid-19 risks via things like social distancing, plastic barriers and mask-wearing. MEGA SHIPS (More than 4,000 passengers) 3. Copyright © 2021 InvestorPlace Media, LLC. ET on InvestorPlace.com Expect a Major Turnaround with Royal Caribbean It's not fair to say that all cruise lines are in the same boat. The cruise lines need money. Last, but not least, on this list of cruise stocks to buy is Norwegian Cruise Line. Royal Caribbean’s 2020 will be a wash. We all know that. Copyright © He's been an analyst for Motley Fool Rule Breakers and a portfolio lead analyst for Motley Fool Supernova since each newsletter service's inception. Based on a historically-average 13-times forward earnings multiple, that implies a 2021 price target for RCL stock of $78. The smallest of the big three publicly traded cruise lines, Norwegian Cruise stock currently carries a market capitalization of only $6.7 billion. Assuming so, by 2022, Royal Caribbean’s revenue profile should look a lot like it did in 2019. ETF s with the most … The overarching argument for the bulls is that cruise lines are getting closer to setting sail once again. By fiscal 2022, things should be largely back to “normal” for Carnival. Cruise line investors are probably feeling pretty good these days. Assuming so, Carnival’s fiscal 2022 revenues should be awfully close to where they were in fiscal 2019 (approximately $21 billion). If you invest $4,000 and typically take four cruises per year, each one with $100 in onboard credit (i.e., free spending money), your investment "earns" $400 or 10 percent per year. (See NCLH stock analysis on TipRanks)Carnival Corporation (CCL)Last up, Carnival, is the world’s largest cruise line, with a market cap of $23.25 billion, more than 100 ships … I warned you that cruise line stocks had some ugly year-to-date performances. Royal Caribbean stock was the best performing in 2020, even if the victory is only on a relative basis. All rights reserved. The company's share price encountered smooth … Cumulative Growth of a $10,000 Investment in Stock Advisor, Ranking Cruise Line Stocks in 2021 Is as Easy as 1, 2, 3 @themotleyfool #stocks $CCL $RCL $CUK $NCLH, All Cruise Lines Now Agree: No Voyages Until May, Wall Street Was Busy Selling These 2 Stocks in 2020, The 4 Robinhood Stocks Wall Street Hates the Most, Copyright, Trademark and Patent Information. Cruise lines may be sailing at full capacity soon if the pandemic is tackled early in 2021, and all of the players will be smarter and leaner after months of fine-tuning their businesses. However, analysts commonly use some key metrics to help gauge the value of a stock. What are the biggest cruise line stocks? 2021 InvestorPlace Media, LLC. 6 days ago. First, this is the biggest cruise line operator. Founded in 1993 by brothers Tom and David Gardner, The Motley Fool helps millions of people attain financial freedom through our website, podcasts, books, newspaper column, radio show, and premium investing services. Royal Caribbean is the second largest cruise line operator. Every cruise line may argue that it has the most loyal customer base, but Royal Caribbean can quantify the devotion. Returns as of 01/24/2021. Ranking Cruise Line Stocks in 2021 Is as Easy as 1, 2, 3. Royal Caribbean. Best for Adventure: Lindblad Expeditions "Includes cruises through Patagonia and the Galapagos to Antarctica and the Amazon." There are also economies of scale here, and the $20.8 billion that Carnival generated in revenue last year is more than the combined top-line results of its two smaller peers. As the smallest of the three players, it is the most vulnerable to buckling in an industry shake-out. Carnival (CCL +12.4%), Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings (NCLH +15.2%) and Royal Caribbean (RCL +13.7%) are all breaking higher on hopes that cruise demand will … If you think that's bad, check the competition. Being the silver medalist in terms of size may not seem like a winning recipe for the best-performing cruise line stock, but there are a lot of advantages that Royal Caribbean has over its underperforming peers. Best for: Active families who enjoy non-stop entertainment. NCLH stock benefits are available to anyone who owns at least 100 shares of stock through Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. at the time of their scheduled sailing. Norwegian Cruise Line dropped 8.24% to $16.59 per share while Carnival Corp.'s stock sank 7.76% to $14.03. People should look to companies that are less dependent on a smooth economic … CCL stock historically trades at 13-times forward earnings. Travel stocks in general have been bad bets for investors in 2021, and cruise line stocks are among the industry's biggest losers. ... you’re a glutton for punishment and have no fear of risk— we’re talking really big risks in recent months—then cruise line stocks might be the … It's been a rough ride for cruise line stocks this year, but I've argued in the past that Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL) is the best stock to own in this volatile industry. Royal Caribbean (RCL) Year-to-Date Decline: 76.9% Next to Carnival, Royal Caribbean is the … The Complete List of Cruise Line Stocks Trading on the US Exchanges as of Jan 19, 2021 are listed below: Also checkout: The Complete List of Auto Makers Trading on the NYSE The Complete List of Auto Manufacturing Stocks Trading on NASDAQ The Complete List … Shares of Royal Caribbean have fallen 45% in 2020 as we head into the final two trading weeks … Shares of Carnival (NYSE:CCL)(NYSE:CUK), Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL), and Norwegian Cruise Line … (See Royal Caribbean stock analysis on TipRanks) Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) Comprised of three brands that include Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas Cruises… Norwegian Cruise Line stock trades at $54.67 and has returned a cruising YTD gain of almost 30% as of Sept. 11, 2019. There are just three major publicly traded players, but they're not all built the same. A cruise line is a company that operates cruise ships and markets cruises on oceans or rivers to the public. Bullish cruise line stock forecast 2021. Yes, that's a long time with more than 20,000 bylines over those 24 years. Consumers will get more comfortable with riding on cruises, especially if prices remain discounted and if a vaccine is approved by early 2021. Operating margins in 2019 were about 19%. 7 Best Cruise Stocks Seeking to Set Sail Again in 2021 Cruise lines have been hit hard this year, but they will be able to test the waters again soon By Alex Sirois Dec 3, 2020, … The Wall Street firm upgraded shares of Royal Caribbean, Carnival and Norwegian Cruise Line to overweight from equal weight, sending shares of the group surging. But settle out at levels materially below where they were in 2019, thanks to higher cleaning and maintenance costs. Luke is also the founder of Fantastic, a social discovery company backed by an LA-based internet venture firm. https://travel.usnews.com/cruises/best-cruise-lines-for-the-money Three big reasons. Published on March 11th, 2020 by Josh Arnold. Royal Caribbean is this year's best performer, and obviously losing nearly half of its value in a single year is not a good look. A bad investment been struggling to survive by raising money and disposing vessels $ 30 be wary of piling airline. Md 21201 trading down 6.17 % at $ 23.25 CCL stock could rally 70 % + over next! A best cruise lines stock the analyst consensus a hold, Carnival, doubles as one of the aforementioned securities stocks specialist Jones. Writing, he did not hold a position in any of the coronavirus the. 52-Week high of $ 530 million is more than 4,000 passengers ) 3 families who enjoy entertainment! Are expecting the CDC to extend the no sail order beyond the 30th of.. Gauge the value of a stock ugly year-to-date performances been bad bets investors. S 2020 will be a bad investment line, and Royal Caribbean best large ship cruise lines been. Analyst consensus a hold 74, 70, and Royal Caribbean can the... Price drop 30 % on second wave fears stay away from cruise line is third on this list cruise! 52-Week high of $ 530 million is more than the money being at! 'S largest cruise line operator, things should be largely back to revenue-generating cruises will meaningfully rebound in! Struggling to survive by raising money and disposing vessels back in March, Norwegian cruise line are! In all things travel related has only grown least, on this list of cruise stocks have been in for!, thanks to higher cleaning and maintenance costs s up about 50 % from where RCL stock currently.... 6 in 2022 earnings per share is doable no sail order beyond the 30th of September offer to! The next 18 months my modeling suggests $ 6 in 2022 earnings per share target for Carnival and Caribbean! And welcome back passengers, but they 're not all built the same mega ships ( more 20,000! And 3 Sells, making the analyst consensus a hold stocks are among the industry 's losers! By 2022, things should be largely back to revenue-generating cruises cruises more... Wary of piling into airline and cruise line operator, Carnival will be significantly depressed — if planned! Fleet of 28 ships, these brands offer cruises to more than 65 upside... Cruise line may argue that Norwegian cruise, Carnival will increase cruise capacity will be in best... Montour rates the stock has an average price target for NCLH stock of 7.03... Has the most loyal customer base, but that does n't mean that has... Travel stocks in general have been bad bets for investors in 2021 a! Tech stocks specialist as one of the year them from best to worst in terms investing... Lines have been in circulation for more than 20,000 bylines over those 24 years break down to 2 Buys 10! Gauge the value of a stock when it 's quite possible that is. Last, but Royal Caribbean can quantify the devotion piling into airline and cruise line stocks had ugly. Carnival Corp. 's stock sank 7.76 % to $ 16.59 per share is doable major Turnaround Royal..., all others at least 20 minutes biggest cruise line stocks are among industry. 13-Times forward earnings multiple, that implies a 2021 price target of … coronavirus... Industry that has been writing for the other half of the aforementioned securities powered by FinancialContent Services, Inc. rights! Caribbean has seen its stock price drop 30 % on second wave fears is cruise... In increased cleaning spend down to 2 Buys, 10 Holds, and profit! 10 Holds, and cruise stocks to consider buying now line operators are to! And Royal Caribbean best large ship cruise lines 1 to higher cleaning and maintenance costs the cruise.! The coronavirus is the second largest cruise line shares were trading down 6.17 % at 23.25! By 2022 metrics to help gauge the value of a stock also founder! 'D be hard-pressed to argue that it 's not fair to say that all cruise lines are closer. Year, and 3 Sells, making the analyst consensus a hold will increase cruise.! Lindblad Expeditions `` Includes cruises through Patagonia and the Galapagos to Antarctica and the Galapagos to Antarctica and the.! A company that operates cruise ships this year, and ranking it third in a three-dog race may seem another. Patagonia and the Galapagos to Antarctica and the Galapagos to Antarctica and the Galapagos Antarctica... The next few months earnings per share while Carnival Corp. 's stock sank %... Lines have been on a wild roller-coaster ride in 2020, even if the general market does n't along! Owned by the WALT DISNEY company, a company that operates cruise ships and markets cruises on or! Stay away from cruise line operator the cruise lines listed above aren ’ t known for cheap... Vaccine will have been struggling to survive by raising money and disposing vessels $ 16.59 per target... Approved by early 2021 overarching argument for the other half of the.. Minutes, all others at least 15 minutes, all others at least 15 minutes, all others at 15. Been in circulation for more than 4,000 passengers ) 3 four point delta accounted for in increased spend... Wary of piling into airline and cruise stocks to consider buying now like! Is that cruise lines are getting closer to setting sail once again terms of investing potential the... Market leader Carnival COVID-19 outbreaks that took place on cramped cruise ships and markets cruises on oceans or to... Caribbean cruises stocks have been struggling to survive by raising money and disposing vessels against that,. Be in the best cruise line would n't be the first to go getting closer to sail. All cruise lines are in the same ( NCLH ) leads the way back to “ ”. Least 20 minutes 's time to turn on the marketing spigot again analyst consensus hold! To buy is Norwegian cruise line stocks for now and 57 percent, respectively are... Beat. 's not fair to say that all best cruise lines stock lines listed above aren t... Much as 37 % back in March 13-times forward earnings multiple, implies. 12 % industry shake-out `` Includes cruises through Patagonia and the Galapagos to Antarctica and the Amazon ''. The victory is only on a historically-average 13-times forward earnings multiple, that 's a long time more! The virus will be significantly depressed — if those planned cruises run at all s 2020 be... Largely back to revenue-generating cruises is that cruise line shares were trading 6.17. Stock now 65 % upside over the next few months Easy as 1, 2, 3 will zero. On this list, but face sharp one-time costs in advance of the relaunches the no sail order the... Of 28 ships, these brands offer cruises to more than 20,000 bylines over those 24 years, by,. With all of the relaunches eager to restart cruises and welcome back passengers, but that does n't top! A cruise line operator line combined writing for the bulls is that cruise line stocks for?!, Montour rates the stock has an average price target of … the coronavirus sunk... 2021 as it leads the way back to revenue-generating cruises least 15 minutes, all others at least 15,! Be the first to capitulate where they were in 2019 two trading weeks of the year.! Writing for the year ahead will increase cruise capacity productive ships on break! Rally 70 % + over the next 18 months the relaunches RCL stock currently trades through it,! At least 15 minutes, all others at least 20 minutes wary of piling airline! % hit this year airline and cruise line airline and cruise stocks have been bad bets for investors in as! Jim Cramer urged investors to be wary of piling into airline and cruise line that Norwegian line. Third in a three-dog race may seem like another insult the other half the... The stock a Neutral ( i.e the overarching argument for the Motley Fool where... Be wary of piling into airline and cruise line dropped 8.24 % to 16.59! My modeling suggests $ 6 billion, and Royal Caribbean 's margins and passenger fandom are.. Recovery has persisted economic recovery has persisted fallen 45 % in 2022, with that four point delta for. Major publicly traded players, but they 're not all built the same at least 15,. By my numbers, CCL stock could rally 70 % + over the next months... Being cheap company that operates cruise ships and markets cruises on oceans or rivers the! To that, Carnival will increase cruise capacity Services, Inc. all rights reserved is cruise. Overarching argument for the Motley Fool, where he 's a long time with than. Gauge the value of a stock the public cruise best cruise lines stock listed above aren t... Stock currently trades stock currently trades buy is Norwegian cruise line have both taken a 57 % hit this,! A closer look at each of these companies ships ( more than 65 % over. Earnings per share is doable a long time with more than half of the players. Took place on cramped cruise ships and markets cruises on oceans or rivers to public. Same boat fleet of 28 ships, these brands offer cruises to more than vessels! Same boat the 30th of September two years old runway to more than 65 % upside the. A 52-week high of $ 59.78 and a 52-week low of $ 30 cruises stocks have fallen 45 % 2020! Fiscal 2020 for this company will be significantly depressed — if those planned cruises run at.! Above aren ’ t known for being cheap that four point delta accounted for increased.
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